Breakfast Report - Cocoa Sugar Coffee OJ

“Actionable Trading Ideas that help you stay ahead of the markets”

Cocoa (May)

Fundamentals: With the Euro Currency completely falling off a cliff over the past ten sessions, cocoa is going to cost a lot for European importers to grind. Therefore, expect those numbers to disappoint next quarter while other variables lean positive like the hot dry weather in the Ivory Coast and Ghana. In addition, with Apple downplaying future demand, one can only expect other retailers to post sluggish sales leading to decreased cocoa demand.

Technicals: Swing target of 2950, trend traders have been long since January 10th with price of 2602 and with substantial open equity they should be moving stops higher or getting to the sidelines and waiting for a new breakout. Sell stops on may are down at 2787 and support is at 2782. Volume has been sliding off the past week which makes me think the longs are using the “Hope” strategy looking for new highs. -Di is crossing over +DI while ADX is flat and stochasics are in the middle of the range. Basically this market is screaming to go to the sidelines and wait for renewed strength or a big sell off.

Bias: Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Resistance: 2900***, 2935****

Pivot: 2787 Point traders would exit longs and head to sidelines

Support: 2750***, 2700****

Sugar (May)

Fundamentals: The market powered back after a two day selloff and found some bidding off of support. Tomorrow we need to see a puncture through 1490 and a break through 1500 to get the bulls back feeling good. Sugar is paying attention to some of the agricultural markets and how China is dropping the tariffs. Demand is still remaining strong and the global production remains tight.

Technicals: This market is starting to have a higher average true range and really would not surprise me if it went one way or the other. Trend traders went long back on Jan 6th at 13.79 and their sell triggers are a close below 14.29.

Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bullish/ Neutral

Resistance: 15.00***, 15.29****

Pivot: 14.29 - Point traders would exit longs and head to sidelines

Support: 14.00***, 13.75****

Orange Juice (May)

Fundamentals: The Juice is waiting to see if the coast is clear before making another move higher. Since my mom sent an edible arrangement to the office yesterday, I have to imagine there are others out there that believe Vitamin-C is the solution to getting a head start on combating the incoming Coronavirus.

Technicals: While the technicals lean slightly positive, it would not take much to attract some bulls by breaking out over near term resistance.

Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Resistance: 102.00***, 102.75****

97.10 - Point where trend traders would head to the sidelines

Support: 100***, 98.00****

Coffee (May)

Fundamentals: Producers are already starting to show a pickup in demand despite the coronavirus outbreak. I believe this might be a bit ahead of itself as Starbucks will most likely replicate what Apple did by lowering demand and guidance.

Technicals: Coffee has had a wild range over the past 48 hours with nearly a 10 cent range. Use 115 as your resistance point and 105 as your support. If we see either of these technical levels broken we may see extensions in either direction.

Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Neutral

Resistance: 115***, 121****

Pivot: 115 - Spot where trend traders get long.

Support: 105***, 100****

Good luck and good trading,

Phillip Streible

Chief Market Strategist


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Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results

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