Phillip StreibleBreakfast Report - Softs and Fibers Technical Report
Cocoa Sugar Coffee OJ Cotton Lumber
“Actionable Trading Ideas that help you stay ahead of the markets"
Cocoa (September) Technicals: The trend following system is flat Buy Trigger: 2479 Sell Trigger: 2271 Settle: 2419
OTE Unrealized Profit/Loss: $0.00 Previous Trades: Long closed out May 21 $1230 loss Short closed out on April 6 $4080 gain Bias: Neutral Previous Session Bias: Neutral
Resistance: ***2449 (200 EXPMA) **** 2529 (Low from March 9) Pivot: 2313*** Parabolic stop and reversal Support: 2292 (May 22 Low)***, 2217 (Low from April 15)
ADX: 11.07 *very weak trending higher market (ADX 14-day =Measures the strength of the current trend) ATR = Average true range = 56 Technical Spotlight
Coffee (July)
Technicals: The trend following system is Short
Buy Trigger: 101.83
Sell Trigger: Entry Price 102.50 (May 27)
Settle: 97.80
OTE Unrealized Profit/Loss: $1762.50 ($2325 - High equity on the signal June 1)
Bias:Bearish/Neutral
Previous Session Bias: Bearish/Neutral
Resistance: 102.55 (Old support new resistance)***, 112.65 (200 DMA)****
Pivot: 99.95** Parabolic stop and reversal
Support:**** 94.80 (June 1 low)
ADX: 38.17
(ADX 14-day = Measures the strength of the current trend)
ATR = Average true range = 3.08
If your going to play this market, it is somewhat choppy and (for example) the Average True Range has been as high as 3.32. This means that on the average day the market should move 3.32 X $375 = $1245
Technical Spotlight
Orange Juice (July)
Technicals: The trend following system is Long
Buy Trigger: Entry Price 105.60 (March 20)
Sell Trigger: 121.68
Settle: 125.90
OTE Unrealized Profit/Loss: $3045.00 (High position equity $3570.00 May 28th)
Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Resistance: 135.00 (Last Blow out) ****
Pivot:129.31**** Parabolic stop and reversal
Support: 121.05*** (Old Resistance from swing high) ****113.43 (200 DMA)
ADX: 26.60
(ADX 14-day = Measures the strength of the current trend)
ATR = Average true range = 3.26
Technical Spotlight
Sugar (July)
Technicals: The trend following system is Long
Buy Trigger: Entry Price 10.78 (May 5)
Sell Trigger: 10.80
Settle: 12.00
OTE Unrealized Profit/Loss: $1366.40
Last trade: Short closed out on 5/1 for $3852.80 gain
Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Resistance: ***12.24 (200 DMA)
(EXPMA = Exponential Moving Average)
Pivot: 11.54**** Parabolic stop and reversal
Support: ****11.30 (Old resistance - new support) 10.05*** (Double Bottom)
ADX: 47.77
(ADX 14-day = Measures the strength of the current trend)
ATR = Average true range = 0.34
Technical Spotlight
Cotton (July)
Technicals: The trend following system is Long
Buy Trigger: Entry Price 57.33 (April 30)
Sell Trigger: 57.62
Settle: 60.52
OTE Unrealized Profit/Loss:$1595.00
Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Resistance:***62.77 (200 DMA) **** 65.97 (Old support from November/December)
(EXPMA = Exponential Moving Average)
Pivot: 58.24**** Parabolic stop and reversal
Support: 59.07*** (Upward Sloping trendline) *** 56.56 (low May 29th)
ADX: 24.44
(ADX 14-day = Measures the strength of the current trend)
ATR = Average true range =1.52
Technical Spotlight
Lumber (July)
Technicals: The trend following system was stopped out and is flat
Buy Trigger: 376.73
Sell Trigger: 345.22
Settle: 357.60
OTE Unrealized Profit/Loss:
Previous Trades:
Long Entry Price 347.00 (April 13) closed out June 3 for $110.00 gain ($2343 High open equ